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Los Angeles Kings vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 28, 2026.

December 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 54.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

54.7%
Fair American -121
Fair decimal 1.83
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

45.3%
Fair American +121
Fair decimal 2.21
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 28, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

82:34 together · 8 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
116 / 73
Fenwick for / against
79 / 47
Corsi share
61.4%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
4.89 / 2.65
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
140
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.0

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
-0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.7
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
8Points5
0.400Points %0.192
27Goals for37
35Goals against60
-8Goal differential-23
W1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
7Games6
3Wins1
8Points2
-1Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
3-5-2Record0-9-1
8Points1
27Goals for20
35Goals against45
-8Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 4 wins
Total goals32 – 21
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.2 / 2.1
Shots per game26.8 / 24.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 14, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 34 - 25 View
Apr 9, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 25 - 26 View
Mar 26, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 0 38 - 19 View
Nov 29, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 20 - 23 View
Feb 26, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 2 17 - 26 View
Jan 16, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 1 21 - 21 View
Nov 7, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 23 - 28 View
Apr 6, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 6 42 - 29 View
Mar 25, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 19 - 23 View
Mar 5, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 31 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.