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Los Angeles Kings vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 19, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 19, 2026.

November 19, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

3-6-2

40.6%
at
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

7-5-2

59.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at 59.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

40.6%
Fair American +146
Fair decimal 2.46
Calculate value
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Home team

Toronto Maple Leafs

59.4%
Fair American -146
Fair decimal 1.68
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 19, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:52 together · 9 games

xG share58.4%
Corsi for / against
128 / 98
Fenwick for / against
89 / 64
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
58.2%
xG for / against
5.49 / 3.92
All observed combinations

Toronto Maple Leafs

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

111:53 together · 10 games

xG share45.6%
Corsi for / against
90 / 124
Fenwick for / against
74 / 92
Corsi share
42.1%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
4.40 / 5.24
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
24.1

Sergei Bobrovsky

Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
25.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.83
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Toronto Maple Leafs

xG for / game
3.02
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Toronto Maple Leafs

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.4
Corsi share (%)
44.1
Fenwick share (%)
46.9
Faceoff win %
52.8
Penalties / game
4.9

Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 14.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
8Points16
0.364Points %0.571
28Goals for52
37Goals against46
-9Goal differential6
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR home
8Games8
3Wins4
8Points9
-2Goal differential-1
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
3-5-2Record5-3-2
8Points12
24Goals for41
29Goals against35
-5Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 5 wins
Total goals29 – 36
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game2.9 / 3.6
Shots per game32.4 / 28.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 4, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
6 - 7 20 - 40 View
Nov 13, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 3 37 - 15 View
Mar 29, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 1 26 - 36 View
Oct 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 6 34 - 26 View
Jan 2, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 0 29 - 31 View
Oct 31, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 1 27 - 30 View
Dec 8, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
0 - 5 29 - 41 View
Oct 29, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 4 28 - 29 View
Nov 24, 2021
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
6 - 2 38 - 32 View
Nov 8, 2021
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 1 29 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK TOR