Away team
Los Angeles Kings
41.5%
Fair American
+141
Fair decimal
2.41
Los Angeles Kings vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 11, 2026
NHL matchup
Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 11, 2026.
December 11, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
San Jose Sharks at 58.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
58.5%
Fair American
-141
Fair decimal
1.71
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 11, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -2.64
- ROI
- -52.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.11
- ROI
- -5.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.45
- ROI
- 48.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 1.66
- ROI
- 20.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
57:43 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 35
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 27
- Corsi share
- 69.0%
- Fenwick share
- 67.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.37
Defense pair
68:17 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 40
- Corsi share
- 62.9%
- Fenwick share
- 62.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.19 / 2.27
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
136:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 116 / 148
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 103
- Corsi share
- 43.9%
- Fenwick share
- 44.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.90 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Los Angeles Kings
Expected starter unavailable.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Anton Forsberg
Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 85
- Save %
- 89.4
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 24.7
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 155
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 31.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Los Angeles Kings
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 2.95
- xG differential / game
- -0.20
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.98
- xG differential / game
- -1.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.33
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
LAK
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 13 |
| 0.333 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 21 | Goals for | 37 |
| 32 | Goals against | 43 |
| -11 | Goal differential | -6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
LAK road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
LAK
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-5-2 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| 21 | Goals for | 28 |
| 32 | Goals against | 36 |
| -11 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
LAK
4 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
6 wins
Total goals34 – 35
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game3.4 / 3.5
Shots per game30.1 / 25.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 5 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 26 | View |
| Nov 20, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 24 | View |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 14 - 40 | View |
| Mar 30, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
1 - 8 | 23 - 36 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 7 | 24 - 21 | View |
| Oct 29, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 21 | View |
| Oct 24, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 1 | 27 - 16 | View |
| Jan 22, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 47 | View |