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Los Angeles Kings vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

2-5-2

4 Model pick
Final
Home

San Jose Sharks

6-5-1

5
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 51.2% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

51.2%
Fair American -105
Fair decimal 1.95
Best market +100 · BetRivers
Market implied 50.0%
Edge +1.2%
Expected value +2.4%
Calculate value
San Jose Sharks logo
Home team

San Jose Sharks

48.8%
Fair American +105
Fair decimal 2.05
Best market -112 · Bovada
Market implied 52.8%
Edge -4.0%
Expected value -7.6%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 3, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

11:51 together · 1 game

xG share50.0%
Corsi for / against
11 / 12
Fenwick for / against
9 / 9
Corsi share
47.8%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
0.52 / 0.52
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

13:34 together · 1 game

xG share11.6%
Corsi for / against
7 / 16
Fenwick for / against
4 / 11
Corsi share
30.4%
Fenwick share
26.7%
xG for / against
0.12 / 0.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Sep 30

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
29
Save %
72.4
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
34.5

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
26
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
38.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.80
xG against / game
3.42
xG differential / game
-0.62

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.71
xG against / game
4.20
xG differential / game
-0.48

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
62.0
Corsi share (%)
55.4
Fenwick share (%)
56.2
Faceoff win %
63.8
Penalties / game
6.0

Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft

San Jose Sharks

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
61.0
Corsi share (%)
46.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
42.6
Penalties / game
7.0

Shots / game: 32.0 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 36.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
6Points13
0.333Points %0.542
21Goals for37
32Goals against43
-11Goal differential-6
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
6Games4
2Wins2
6Points4
-4Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
2-5-2Record4-5-1
6Points9
21Goals for28
32Goals against36
-11Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 5 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 5 wins
Total goals35 – 31
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.5 / 3.1
Shots per game30.9 / 25.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 7, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 28 - 26 View
Nov 20, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 4 34 - 24 View
Oct 28, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 14 - 40 View
Mar 30, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 8 23 - 36 View
Nov 25, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 7 24 - 21 View
Oct 29, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 4 28 - 21 View
Oct 24, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 26 - 30 View
Apr 4, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 27 - 16 View
Jan 22, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 27 - 47 View
Dec 27, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 5 25 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK SJS