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Los Angeles Kings vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 17, 2026.

December 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

3-5-2

43.3%
at
Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

56.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 56.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

43.3%
Fair American +131
Fair decimal 2.31
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

56.7%
Fair American -131
Fair decimal 1.76
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 17, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

82:34 together · 8 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
116 / 73
Fenwick for / against
79 / 47
Corsi share
61.4%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
4.89 / 2.65
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:36 together · 7 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
62 / 60
Fenwick for / against
44 / 50
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair

83:42 together · 10 games

xG share41.7%
Corsi for / against
96 / 88
Fenwick for / against
70 / 70
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.95 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
140
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.0

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
-0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.7
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
46.6
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
8Points11
0.400Points %0.458
27Goals for40
35Goals against40
-8Goal differential0
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
7Games5
3Wins4
8Points8
-1Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
3-5-2Record3-6-1
8Points7
27Goals for27
35Goals against35
-8Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 5 wins
Total goals30 – 30
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.0 / 3.0
Shots per game34.0 / 28.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 9, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 27 - 33 View
Oct 16, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 26 - 32 View
Jan 20, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 1 32 - 26 View
Dec 17, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 31 - 31 View
Feb 18, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 1 34 - 30 View
Nov 9, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 20 - 36 View
Feb 11, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 6 25 - 31 View
Oct 20, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 6 40 - 34 View
Jan 30, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 38 - 26 View
Jan 13, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 6 29 - 45 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK PIT