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Los Angeles Kings vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 28, 2027

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 28, 2027.

January 28, 2027 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

3-6-2

52.1% Model pick
at
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-4

47.9%
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 52.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

52.1%
Fair American -109
Fair decimal 1.92
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

47.9%
Fair American +109
Fair decimal 2.09
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 28, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:52 together · 9 games

xG share58.4%
Corsi for / against
128 / 98
Fenwick for / against
89 / 64
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
58.2%
xG for / against
5.49 / 3.92
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

59:45 together · 8 games

xG share65.6%
Corsi for / against
48 / 43
Fenwick for / against
28 / 29
Corsi share
52.7%
Fenwick share
49.1%
xG for / against
2.99 / 1.57
Defense pair

111:09 together · 8 games

xG share53.0%
Corsi for / against
103 / 97
Fenwick for / against
73 / 63
Corsi share
51.5%
Fenwick share
53.7%
xG for / against
4.75 / 4.21
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
24.1

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
31.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.83
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.87
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
-0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.1
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
48.9
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
8Points10
0.364Points %0.357
28Goals for27
37Goals against46
-9Goal differential-19
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
8Games8
3Wins2
8Points7
-2Goal differential-11
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
3-5-2Record3-5-2
8Points8
24Goals for22
29Goals against29
-5Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
Total goals40 – 31
Goal differential +9 / -9
Goals per game4.0 / 3.1
Shots per game30.1 / 26.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 19, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 20 - 25 View
Jan 31, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2 21 - 21 View
Dec 29, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 21 - 20 View
Dec 19, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
7 - 3 27 - 26 View
Nov 11, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 26 - 37 View
Nov 4, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 0 30 - 24 View
Jan 24, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 38 - 31 View
Dec 31, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 23 - 29 View
Jan 29, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 40 - 36 View
Jan 1, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 6 37 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK PHI