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Los Angeles Kings vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 26, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 26, 2026.

October 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

2-5-2

37.7%
at
Home

New York Rangers

7-5-1

62.3% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 62.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

37.7%
Fair American +165
Fair decimal 2.65
Best market +114 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 46.7%
Edge -9.0%
Expected value -19.3%
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

62.3%
Fair American -165
Fair decimal 1.61
Best market -125 · Bovada
Market implied 55.6%
Edge +6.7%
Expected value +12.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 26, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

68:17 together · 7 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
95 / 56
Fenwick for / against
66 / 40
Corsi share
62.9%
Fenwick share
62.3%
xG for / against
4.19 / 2.27
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:07 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
134 / 153
Fenwick for / against
100 / 95
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
51.3%
xG for / against
7.85 / 5.14
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Los Angeles Kings

Darcy Kuemper 72.6%
Other eligible goalies

Why Darcy Kuemper?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.756
Team win pct before
+0.620
Prev save pct
+0.421
Days since last start
+0.379
Started last game
+0.314
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

New York Rangers

Dylan Garand 60.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Dylan Garand?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.847
Prev save pct
-0.666
Goalie team start share
+0.458
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
-0.247
Started last game
-0.184
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
85
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
24.7

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.20

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.6
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
6Points15
0.333Points %0.577
21Goals for41
32Goals against36
-11Goal differential5
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
6Games6
2Wins6
6Points12
-4Goal differential19
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
2-5-2Record5-4-1
6Points11
21Goals for34
32Goals against32
-11Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 4 wins
Total goals29 – 25
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game2.9 / 2.5
Shots per game31.1 / 26.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 16, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 26 - 22 View
Jan 20, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 4 36 - 27 View
Mar 25, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 3 23 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 1 32 - 32 View
Jan 20, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 23 - 26 View
Dec 10, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 26 - 27 View
Feb 26, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 5 28 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 3 25 - 38 View
Jan 24, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 36 - 30 View
Jan 10, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 3 23 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK NYR