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Los Angeles Kings vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 16, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 16, 2026.

March 16, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

110:36 together · 10 games

xG share50.2%
Corsi for / against
129 / 107
Fenwick for / against
96 / 79
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
54.9%
xG for / against
5.61 / 5.56
Defense pair

139:28 together · 10 games

xG share42.0%
Corsi for / against
150 / 157
Fenwick for / against
104 / 105
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
49.8%
xG for / against
5.27 / 7.28
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

72:36 together · 8 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
65 / 53
Fenwick for / against
40 / 38
Corsi share
55.1%
Fenwick share
51.3%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.09
Defense pair

138:53 together · 9 games

xG share56.8%
Corsi for / against
128 / 108
Fenwick for / against
94 / 86
Corsi share
54.2%
Fenwick share
52.2%
xG for / against
5.90 / 4.48
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
148
Save %
89.2
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
23.6

Igor Shesterkin

New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
169
Save %
91.7
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
-0.27

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.60
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.74

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.3
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.7
Faceoff win %
48.0
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.4
Corsi share (%)
45.4
Fenwick share (%)
44.0
Faceoff win %
52.1
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 15.9% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
6Points15
0.333Points %0.577
21Goals for41
32Goals against36
-11Goal differential5
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
6Games6
2Wins6
6Points12
-4Goal differential19
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
2-5-2Record5-4-1
6Points11
21Goals for34
32Goals against32
-11Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
Total goals26 – 28
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game2.6 / 2.8
Shots per game32.8 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 20, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 4 36 - 27 View
Mar 25, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 3 23 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 1 32 - 32 View
Jan 20, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 23 - 26 View
Dec 10, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 26 - 27 View
Feb 26, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 5 28 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 3 25 - 38 View
Jan 24, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 36 - 30 View
Jan 10, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 3 23 - 39 View
Feb 9, 2020
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 43 - 41 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.