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Los Angeles Kings vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 24, 2026.

October 24, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

3-6-2

1
Final
Home

New Jersey Devils

8-4-0

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 61.8% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

38.2%
Fair American +162
Fair decimal 2.62
Best market +170 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 37.0%
Edge +1.2%
Expected value +3.1%
Calculate value
New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

61.8%
Fair American -162
Fair decimal 1.62
Best market -190 · BetMGM
Market implied 65.5%
Edge -3.7%
Expected value -5.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 24, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

66:58 together · 6 games

xG share64.1%
Corsi for / against
94 / 56
Fenwick for / against
65 / 40
Corsi share
62.7%
Fenwick share
61.9%
xG for / against
4.06 / 2.27
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

67:13 together · 7 games

xG share66.7%
Corsi for / against
85 / 50
Fenwick for / against
62 / 32
Corsi share
63.0%
Fenwick share
66.0%
xG for / against
4.12 / 2.06
Defense pair

156:10 together · 10 games

xG share58.9%
Corsi for / against
205 / 123
Fenwick for / against
130 / 84
Corsi share
62.5%
Fenwick share
60.7%
xG for / against
7.67 / 5.36
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Los Angeles Kings

Darcy Kuemper 67.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Darcy Kuemper?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
+0.584
Goalie team start share
+0.485
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.439
Prev save pct
+0.430
Won previous appearance
+0.267
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

New Jersey Devils

Jake Allen 95.6%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jake Allen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.809
Goalie win pct before
+0.393
Started last game
+0.365
Days since last start
+0.350
Team win pct before
-0.285
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
144
Save %
92.4
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
24.3

Nico Daws

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 22

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
86
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
31.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.94
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.01

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.65
xG against / game
2.51
xG differential / game
1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
60.0
Corsi share (%)
50.8
Fenwick share (%)
51.9
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
4.62

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
72.1
Corsi share (%)
59.0
Fenwick share (%)
57.8
Faceoff win %
51.3
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 34.9 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 29.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
8Points16
0.364Points %0.667
28Goals for41
37Goals against33
-9Goal differential8
L1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
8Games8
3Wins6
8Points12
-2Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
3-5-2Record7-3-0
8Points14
24Goals for38
29Goals against25
-5Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 5 wins
Total goals27 – 28
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.8
Shots per game29.0 / 27.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 14, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 6 31 - 28 View
Nov 1, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 22 - 44 View
Jan 1, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 3 33 - 24 View
Dec 12, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 3 14 - 26 View
Mar 3, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 5 31 - 23 View
Feb 15, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 1 29 - 27 View
Feb 23, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 22 - 32 View
Jan 14, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 2 28 - 37 View
Jan 23, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 2 37 - 25 View
Nov 5, 2021
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 23 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK NJD