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Los Angeles Kings vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.

January 29, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

85:39 together · 9 games

xG share68.4%
Corsi for / against
101 / 57
Fenwick for / against
74 / 41
Corsi share
63.9%
Fenwick share
64.3%
xG for / against
5.46 / 2.52
Defense pair

139:08 together · 9 games

xG share46.8%
Corsi for / against
126 / 120
Fenwick for / against
87 / 88
Corsi share
51.2%
Fenwick share
49.7%
xG for / against
5.18 / 5.89
All observed combinations

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:53 together · 10 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
67 / 72
Fenwick for / against
54 / 62
Corsi share
48.2%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.39 / 4.45
Defense pair

120:15 together · 10 games

xG share40.2%
Corsi for / against
94 / 142
Fenwick for / against
72 / 106
Corsi share
39.8%
Fenwick share
40.4%
xG for / against
4.70 / 6.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
94.1
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
39.5

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
89.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
34.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.85
xG against / game
2.96
xG differential / game
-0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
2.75
xG against / game
3.15
xG differential / game
-0.40

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.8
Corsi share (%)
53.1
Fenwick share (%)
50.8
Faceoff win %
45.0
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
48.7
Corsi share (%)
44.0
Fenwick share (%)
44.8
Faceoff win %
42.0
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 24.1 · Shooting: 18.3% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF
6Points11
0.333Points %0.500
21Goals for31
32Goals against41
-11Goal differential-10
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF home
6Games6
2Wins3
6Points6
-4Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF
2-5-2Record4-3-3
6Points11
21Goals for28
32Goals against35
-11Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
Total goals19 – 30
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game1.9 / 3.0
Shots per game32.7 / 26.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 20, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 0 19 - 23 View
Oct 10, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 1 23 - 33 View
Feb 13, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
0 - 7 33 - 24 View
Jan 24, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 3 37 - 40 View
Feb 13, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5 29 - 28 View
Dec 13, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
0 - 6 40 - 31 View
Mar 6, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 0 32 - 19 View
Oct 31, 2021
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 24 - 34 View
Dec 21, 2019
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 27 - 28 View
Oct 17, 2019
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 0 24 - 47 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.