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Florida Panthers vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 27, 2026.

October 27, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Florida Panthers

6-4-2

48.9%
at
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

51.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Winnipeg Jets at 51.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

48.9%
Fair American +104
Fair decimal 2.04
Best market -134 · FanDuel
Market implied 57.3%
Edge -8.4%
Expected value -14.6%
Calculate value
Winnipeg Jets logo
Home team

Winnipeg Jets

51.1%
Fair American -104
Fair decimal 1.96
Best market +112 · FanDuel
Market implied 47.2%
Edge +3.9%
Expected value +8.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 27, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-0.82
ROI
-13.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

126:22 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
131 / 84
Fenwick for / against
97 / 66
Corsi share
60.9%
Fenwick share
59.5%
xG for / against
5.35 / 3.48
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

135:56 together · 10 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
159 / 130
Fenwick for / against
120 / 104
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair

121:50 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
114 / 112
Fenwick for / against
83 / 81
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
4.74 / 5.31
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Florida Panthers

Jacob Markstrom 50.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jacob Markstrom?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.606
Days since last start
+0.267
Won previous appearance
+0.267
Started last game
-0.241
Prev save pct
-0.184
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Winnipeg Jets

Stuart Skinner 46.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Stuart Skinner?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.616
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.446
Started last game
-0.303
Team win pct before
+0.228
Won previous appearance
-0.173
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 26, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Akira Schmid

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
29.9

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
38.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.41
xG against / game
2.75
xG differential / game
0.66

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.87
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.51

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.8
Corsi share (%)
56.1
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
45.5
Penalties / game
5.7

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.6
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
45.1
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
14Points11
0.583Points %0.500
34Goals for27
36Goals against31
-2Goal differential-4
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
9Games6
4Wins2
10Points5
-5Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
5-4-1Record4-4-2
11Points10
30Goals for24
32Goals against27
-2Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 6 wins
Total goals32 – 32
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.2 / 3.2
Shots per game33.2 / 28.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 1 21 - 28 View
Jan 22, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1 20 - 18 View
Nov 19, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 6 23 - 27 View
Nov 16, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 5 27 - 31 View
Nov 24, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 0 31 - 33 View
Oct 14, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 6 33 - 35 View
Mar 11, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 4 27 - 48 View
Dec 6, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 5 41 - 31 View
Apr 15, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 6 31 - 43 View
Jan 25, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
5 - 3 32 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA WPG