Away team
Florida Panthers
43.7%
Fair American
+129
Fair decimal
2.29
Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 7, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 7, 2026.
November 7, 2026
· 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 pick:
Washington Capitals at 56.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Washington Capitals
56.3%
Fair American
-129
Fair decimal
1.78
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 7, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 12 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 39 | Goals for | 34 |
| 37 | Goals against | 32 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
7 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
3 wins
Total goals38 – 33
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.8 / 3.3
Shots per game31.0 / 27.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 5 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 40 - 28 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Feb 4, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Feb 8, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 4 | 23 - 41 | View |
| Nov 8, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 37 - 24 | View |