Forward trio
99:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 85 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.1%
- Fenwick share
- 49.2%
- xG for / against
- 3.71 / 3.94
Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 17, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 17, 2026.
January 17, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
127:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 116 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 85 / 73
- Corsi share
- 54.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.54 / 4.58
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:09 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 25 / 27
- Fenwick for / against
- 17 / 21
- Corsi share
- 48.1%
- Fenwick share
- 44.7%
- xG for / against
- 1.30 / 1.20
Defense pair
95:36 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 83 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 65
- Corsi share
- 48.0%
- Fenwick share
- 47.2%
- xG for / against
- 3.77 / 4.64
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Sergei Bobrovsky
Florida Panthers · Last start: Jan 16
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 81.5
- Goals allowed
- 22
- Close-range shots %
- 36.1
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 92.3
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 31.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.17
- xG differential / game
- -0.10
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.03
- xG against / game
- 3.24
- xG differential / game
- -0.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.3
- Faceoff win %
- 46.5
- Penalties / game
- 6.3
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 8.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.9
- Faceoff win %
- 50.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 29.1 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 35.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 12 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 39 | Goals for | 34 |
| 37 | Goals against | 32 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
7 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
3 wins
Total goals39 – 34
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.9 / 3.4
Shots per game31.5 / 28.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 5 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 40 - 28 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Feb 4, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Feb 8, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 4 | 23 - 41 | View |
| Nov 8, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 37 - 24 | View |
| Feb 16, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Washington Capitals
|
6 - 3 | 36 - 32 | View |