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Florida Panthers vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 17, 2026.

March 17, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

138:34 together · 9 games

xG share48.9%
Corsi for / against
149 / 122
Fenwick for / against
108 / 91
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
6.10 / 6.36
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

58:23 together · 9 games

xG share46.5%
Corsi for / against
38 / 56
Fenwick for / against
30 / 43
Corsi share
40.4%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.03 / 2.33
Defense pair

146:44 together · 10 games

xG share43.1%
Corsi for / against
103 / 123
Fenwick for / against
78 / 88
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
47.0%
xG for / against
4.26 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Daniil Tarasov

Florida Panthers · Last start: Mar 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
143
Save %
86.7
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
31.5

Nikita Tolopilo

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
122
Save %
85.2
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
29.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
3.16
xG differential / game
0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.40
xG against / game
3.47
xG differential / game
-1.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.3
Corsi share (%)
53.7
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.7
Corsi share (%)
43.5
Fenwick share (%)
44.3
Faceoff win %
51.2
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 23.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
16Points7
0.615Points %0.250
39Goals for43
37Goals against65
2Goal differential-22
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
10Games6
5Wins1
12Points2
-1Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
6-4-0Record1-8-1
12Points3
33Goals for24
30Goals against47
3Goal differential-23
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 4 wins
Total goals34 – 30
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.4 / 3.0
Shots per game34.4 / 29.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 17, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 8 15 - 41 View
Dec 12, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 4 27 - 19 View
Oct 17, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 2 33 - 28 View
Dec 14, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 4 36 - 18 View
Oct 21, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 3 31 - 36 View
Jan 14, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 38 - 35 View
Dec 1, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 1 32 - 33 View
Jan 21, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 1 34 - 28 View
Jan 11, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 5 44 - 26 View
Jan 9, 2020
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 5 32 - 49 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.