Forward trio
69:17 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 67 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 45 / 57
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 44.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.67 / 3.54
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.
April 11, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
79:33 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 58
- Corsi share
- 51.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.07 / 3.88
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
92:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 92 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 72
- Corsi share
- 49.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.97 / 4.30
Defense pair
64:17 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 30 / 67
- Corsi share
- 31.1%
- Fenwick share
- 30.9%
- xG for / against
- 2.62 / 4.40
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Sergei Bobrovsky
Florida Panthers · Last start: Apr 9
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 86.0
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 38.0
Artur Akhtyamov
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Apr 9
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 49
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 5
- Close-range shots %
- 34.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.10
- xG against / game
- 3.48
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.77
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -1.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.1
- Faceoff win %
- 44.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 25.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 48.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 41.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 40.3
- Faceoff win %
- 45.9
- Penalties / game
- 5.4
Shots / game: 21.3 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 16 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.571 |
| 34 | Goals for | 52 |
| 36 | Goals against | 46 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -1 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 30 | Goals for | 41 |
| 32 | Goals against | 35 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
5 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
5 wins
Total goals30 – 26
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.0 / 2.6
Shots per game32.3 / 25.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 29 - 37 | View |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Apr 2, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Mar 13, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 24 | View |
| Apr 16, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 42 | View |
| Apr 1, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 6 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Nov 28, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 2 | 39 - 32 | View |