Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Florida Panthers

40-38-4
at
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-36-14
Model favourite Florida Panthers at 55.7%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

55.7%
Fair American -126
Fair decimal 1.8
Best market +112 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 47.2%
Edge +8.5%
Expected value +18.1%
Calculate value
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Home team

Toronto Maple Leafs

44.3%
Fair American +126
Fair decimal 2.26
Best market -122 · FanDuel
Market implied 55.0%
Edge -10.7%
Expected value -19.4%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
84Points78
0.512Points %0.476
251Goals for253
276Goals against299
-25Goal differential-46
W3Current streakL5
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR home
41Games41
17Wins18
35Points44
-35Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
5-4-1Record2-7-1
11Points5
36Goals for28
35Goals against47
1Goal differential-19
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 5 wins
Total goals30 – 26
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.0 / 2.6
Shots per game32.3 / 25.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 26, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 5 29 - 37 View
Jan 6, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 4 32 - 23 View
Dec 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 1 31 - 26 View
Apr 8, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 3 18 - 37 View
Apr 2, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 3 31 - 26 View
Mar 13, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 2 25 - 25 View
Nov 27, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 5 24 - 24 View
Apr 16, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 5 26 - 42 View
Apr 1, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 6 30 - 23 View
Nov 28, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 2 39 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA TOR