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Florida Panthers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 1, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 1, 2026.

October 1, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Florida Panthers

7-4-2

3
Final
Home

San Jose Sharks

6-6-1

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: San Jose Sharks at 61.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

38.4%
Fair American +160
Fair decimal 2.6
Best market -142 · Bovada
Market implied 58.7%
Edge -20.3%
Expected value -34.6%
Calculate value
San Jose Sharks logo
Home team

San Jose Sharks

61.6%
Fair American -160
Fair decimal 1.62
Best market +128 · BetRivers
Market implied 43.9%
Edge +17.7%
Expected value +40.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 1, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trioUnder 10 minutes

8:04 together · 1 game

xG share85.4%
Corsi for / against
4 / 3
Fenwick for / against
3 / 1
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
75.0%
xG for / against
0.19 / 0.03
Defense pair

14:11 together · 1 game

xG share86.0%
Corsi for / against
9 / 5
Fenwick for / against
7 / 2
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
77.8%
xG for / against
0.80 / 0.13
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

No completed regular-season games in this window.

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jacob Markstrom

Florida Panthers · Last start: Sep 29

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
15
Save %
100.0
Goals allowed
0
Close-range shots %
26.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
2.27
xG against / game
2.64
xG differential / game
-0.37

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG unavailable.

0 / 0 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
58.0
Fenwick share (%)
56.4
Faceoff win %
43.1
Penalties / game
7.0

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 5.0% · Avg distance: 38.9 ft

San Jose Sharks

0 / 0 games covered

No current event coverage for these games.

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
16Points13
0.615Points %0.500
39Goals for37
37Goals against45
2Goal differential-8
W2Current streakL2
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
10Games5
5Wins2
12Points4
-1Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
6-4-0Record4-5-1
12Points9
33Goals for28
30Goals against33
3Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 8 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 2 wins
Total goals36 – 24
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game3.6 / 2.4
Shots per game39.8 / 28.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 19, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 1 28 - 36 View
Nov 8, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 3 39 - 23 View
Jan 25, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
7 - 2 32 - 23 View
Dec 7, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 3 29 - 54 View
Nov 14, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 3 31 - 22 View
Oct 24, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 3 28 - 36 View
Feb 9, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 4 34 - 42 View
Nov 3, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 44 - 39 View
Mar 15, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 34 - 26 View
Jan 29, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 5 34 - 50 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA SJS