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Florida Panthers vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.

April 4, 2026 · 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

124:17 together · 8 games

xG share50.9%
Corsi for / against
129 / 101
Fenwick for / against
94 / 81
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
53.7%
xG for / against
6.30 / 6.06
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:17 together · 10 games

xG share56.5%
Corsi for / against
73 / 102
Fenwick for / against
57 / 70
Corsi share
41.7%
Fenwick share
44.9%
xG for / against
4.31 / 3.32
Defense pair

154:41 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
167 / 138
Fenwick for / against
127 / 111
Corsi share
54.8%
Fenwick share
53.4%
xG for / against
8.46 / 8.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
90.0
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
36.7

Stuart Skinner

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
42.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
3.51
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.7
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
49.3
Faceoff win %
44.0
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.2
Corsi share (%)
48.3
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
45.4
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 14.7% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
16Points11
0.615Points %0.458
39Goals for40
37Goals against40
2Goal differential0
W2Current streakW2
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
10Games5
5Wins4
12Points8
-1Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
6-4-0Record3-6-1
12Points7
33Goals for27
30Goals against35
3Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 4 wins
Total goals37 – 32
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.7 / 3.2
Shots per game34.4 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 23, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 3 17 - 37 View
Mar 23, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 27 - 31 View
Jan 3, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 31 - 33 View
Dec 3, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 41 - 16 View
Feb 14, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 2 23 - 27 View
Jan 26, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 31 - 37 View
Dec 8, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 3 26 - 33 View
Mar 4, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 4 32 - 42 View
Jan 24, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 7 39 - 49 View
Dec 15, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 2 39 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.