Away team
Florida Panthers
51.6%
Fair American
-107
Fair decimal
1.94
Florida Panthers vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 14, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 14, 2026.
December 14, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 51.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
48.4%
Fair American
+107
Fair decimal
2.07
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 14, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.64
- ROI
- -10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:54 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 50 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 30 / 37
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 44.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.16 / 2.13
Defense pair
113:05 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 66
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.64
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 87.6
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.73
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.57
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.4
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 10 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 39 | Goals for | 29 |
| 37 | Goals against | 51 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -22 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 8 |
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -11 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| 33 | Goals for | 23 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
4 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
6 wins
Total goals29 – 33
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.9 / 3.3
Shots per game27.9 / 26.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 2 | 18 - 27 | View |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 2 | 20 - 34 | View |
| Jan 13, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 23 - 29 | View |
| Dec 5, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
7 - 5 | 28 - 34 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 31 | View |
| Mar 24, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 15 - 33 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 1 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 6 | 44 - 24 | View |