Away team
Florida Panthers
46.4%
Fair American
+116
Fair decimal
2.16
Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2027
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2027.
March 18, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Ottawa Senators at 53.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
53.6%
Fair American
-116
Fair decimal
1.87
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 18, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsOttawa Senators
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 56
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 6
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 16 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 39 | Goals for | 39 |
| 37 | Goals against | 38 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 29 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
6 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
4 wins
Total goals31 – 24
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game3.1 / 2.4
Shots per game29.9 / 26.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 5 | 19 - 30 | View |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 19 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 6 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 3 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 27 - 48 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 2 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 0 | 31 - 30 | View |