Forward trio
79:29 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 81 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 61
- Corsi share
- 53.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.28 / 3.69
Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 9, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 9, 2026.
April 9, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
79:33 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 58
- Corsi share
- 51.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.07 / 3.88
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
96:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 106 / 80
- Fenwick for / against
- 84 / 58
- Corsi share
- 57.0%
- Fenwick share
- 59.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.41 / 3.55
Defense pair
66:30 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 45 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 35 / 48
- Corsi share
- 38.1%
- Fenwick share
- 42.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.99 / 2.81
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Daniil Tarasov
Florida Panthers · Last start: Apr 7
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 85.7
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 35.3
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Apr 7
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 87.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 35.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.11
- xG against / game
- 3.46
- xG differential / game
- -0.35
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.43
- xG against / game
- 2.89
- xG differential / game
- 0.54
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.2
- Faceoff win %
- 44.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.7
- Faceoff win %
- 53.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 35.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 16 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 39 | Goals for | 39 |
| 37 | Goals against | 38 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 29 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
8 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
2 wins
Total goals37 – 16
Goal differential
+21
/
-21
Goals per game3.7 / 1.6
Shots per game32.8 / 25.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 19 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 6 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 3 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 27 - 48 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 2 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 0 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Feb 20, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Nov 27, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 0 | 37 - 20 | View |