Away team
Florida Panthers
42.8%
Fair American
+134
Fair decimal
2.34
Florida Panthers vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 1, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 1, 2026.
December 1, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New York Islanders at 57.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Islanders
57.2%
Fair American
-134
Fair decimal
1.75
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 1, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsNew York Islanders
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 96
- Save %
- 87.5
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.3
Semyon Varlamov
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27
3 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 69
- Save %
- 89.9
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 40.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.34
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.59
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.27
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
9 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.6
- Faceoff win %
- 44.4
- Penalties / game
- 5.89
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
New York Islanders
9 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.6
- Faceoff win %
- 55.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.44
Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.583 |
| 39 | Goals for | 36 |
| 37 | Goals against | 32 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 29 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
6 wins
Total goals33 – 35
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game3.3 / 3.5
Shots per game30.3 / 30.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 5 | 21 - 40 | View |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 5 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
6 - 3 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 2 | 37 - 23 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 45 | View |
| Dec 23, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 43 | View |