Forward trio
58:38 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 44
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 34
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 55.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.85 / 2.23
Florida Panthers vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 1, 2026.
March 1, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
128:18 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 127 / 108
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 78
- Corsi share
- 54.0%
- Fenwick share
- 54.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.83 / 5.20
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:31 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 56 / 41
- Fenwick for / against
- 38 / 31
- Corsi share
- 57.7%
- Fenwick share
- 55.1%
- xG for / against
- 1.80 / 2.20
Defense pair
142:46 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 132 / 109
- Fenwick for / against
- 94 / 78
- Corsi share
- 54.8%
- Fenwick share
- 54.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.64 / 5.07
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Daniil Tarasov
Florida Panthers · Last start: Feb 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 22.4
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Feb 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 156
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 35.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 0.60
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- -0.31
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.3
- Faceoff win %
- 51.9
- Penalties / game
- 6.5
Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 25.6 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.583 |
| 39 | Goals for | 36 |
| 37 | Goals against | 32 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 29 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
6 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
4 wins
Total goals33 – 28
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.3 / 2.8
Shots per game31.0 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
6 - 3 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 2 | 37 - 23 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 45 | View |
| Dec 23, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 43 | View |
| Oct 23, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Oct 13, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 1 | 29 - 33 | View |