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Florida Panthers vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 6, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 6, 2026.

October 6, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Florida Panthers

6-4-2

2
Final
Home

Los Angeles Kings

2-5-2

1 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 59.8% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

40.2%
Fair American +149
Fair decimal 2.49
Best market -120 · BetMGM
Market implied 54.5%
Edge -14.3%
Expected value -26.3%
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

59.8%
Fair American -149
Fair decimal 1.67
Best market +106 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 48.5%
Edge +11.3%
Expected value +23.2%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 6, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

42:17 together · 3 games

xG share70.9%
Corsi for / against
34 / 22
Fenwick for / against
23 / 17
Corsi share
60.7%
Fenwick share
57.5%
xG for / against
1.61 / 0.66
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

20:45 together · 2 games

xG share32.6%
Corsi for / against
18 / 22
Fenwick for / against
13 / 18
Corsi share
45.0%
Fenwick share
41.9%
xG for / against
0.76 / 1.56
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jacob Markstrom

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 4

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
35
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
28.6

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 3

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
25
Save %
80.0
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
16.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.50
xG against / game
3.00
xG differential / game
0.50

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.38
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
0.67

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
64.3
Corsi share (%)
58.0
Fenwick share (%)
56.2
Faceoff win %
51.8
Penalties / game
5.67

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 7.8% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Los Angeles Kings

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
65.5
Corsi share (%)
57.5
Fenwick share (%)
59.5
Faceoff win %
58.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 33.0 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
14Points6
0.583Points %0.333
34Goals for21
36Goals against32
-2Goal differential-11
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
9Games3
4Wins0
10Points0
-5Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
5-4-1Record2-5-2
11Points6
30Goals for21
32Goals against32
-2Goal differential-11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
Total goals26 – 26
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game2.6 / 2.6
Shots per game35.1 / 31.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 17, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 29 - 28 View
Nov 6, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 2 24 - 26 View
Jan 29, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 3 29 - 39 View
Jan 22, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 28 - 28 View
Jan 11, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 33 - 41 View
Nov 16, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 31 - 27 View
Jan 27, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 3 33 - 48 View
Nov 5, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 38 - 39 View
Mar 13, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 32 - 37 View
Dec 16, 2021
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 1 31 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA LAK