Forward trio
58:25 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 40
- Fenwick for / against
- 57 / 30
- Corsi share
- 66.1%
- Fenwick share
- 65.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.11 / 1.93
Florida Panthers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2026.
March 6, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
136:02 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 141 / 127
- Fenwick for / against
- 99 / 93
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 51.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.20 / 6.22
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
85:02 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 81 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 55
- Corsi share
- 49.1%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.32 / 3.59
Defense pair
83:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 62
- Corsi share
- 39.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.14 / 4.05
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Daniil Tarasov
Florida Panthers · Last start: Mar 5
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 23.1
Cam Talbot
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 87.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 37.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 2.83
- xG differential / game
- 0.63
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 2.81
- xG against / game
- 3.06
- xG differential / game
- -0.24
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.2
- Faceoff win %
- 50.3
- Penalties / game
- 6.0
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.7
- Faceoff win %
- 51.0
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 13 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 34 | Goals for | 33 |
| 36 | Goals against | 37 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 11 | Points | 13 |
| 30 | Goals for | 31 |
| 32 | Goals against | 32 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
6 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
4 wins
Total goals27 – 21
Goal differential
+6
/
-6
Goals per game2.7 / 2.1
Shots per game30.9 / 23.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Apr 10, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 4 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 33 - 24 | View |
| Jan 16, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 2 | 20 - 43 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 38 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 0 | 37 - 21 | View |
| Jan 17, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 34 | View |
| Nov 2, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 0 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Mar 20, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 22 | View |
| Jan 6, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 2 | 20 - 31 | View |