Away team
Florida Panthers
34.1%
Fair American
+193
Fair decimal
2.93
Florida Panthers vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 27, 2027
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 27, 2027.
February 27, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 65.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
65.9%
Fair American
-193
Fair decimal
1.52
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 27, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 39 | Goals for | 49 |
| 37 | Goals against | 40 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 33 | Goals for | 35 |
| 30 | Goals against | 35 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
5 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
5 wins
Total goals35 – 34
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game3.5 / 3.4
Shots per game32.9 / 32.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 6 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Jan 6, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 3 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Florida Panthers
|
7 - 4 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 4 | 34 - 41 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
8 - 4 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 50 - 45 | View |
| Jan 10, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 4 | 37 - 31 | View |
| Dec 12, 2021 |
Florida Panthers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Oct 21, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 38 | View |