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Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2026.

January 16, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

100:04 together · 10 games

xG share52.0%
Corsi for / against
94 / 77
Fenwick for / against
65 / 60
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
52.0%
xG for / against
4.33 / 4.00
Defense pair

129:17 together · 10 games

xG share54.1%
Corsi for / against
131 / 93
Fenwick for / against
95 / 71
Corsi share
58.5%
Fenwick share
57.2%
xG for / against
5.33 / 4.53
All observed combinations

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

107:36 together · 10 games

xG share61.0%
Corsi for / against
142 / 71
Fenwick for / against
102 / 52
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
66.2%
xG for / against
6.76 / 4.32
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers · Last start: Jan 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
34.3

Brandon Bussi

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Jan 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
87.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.18
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
0.24

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.50
xG against / game
3.00
xG differential / game
0.50

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.7
Corsi share (%)
55.1
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
47.4
Penalties / game
5.7

Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
58.1
Fenwick share (%)
58.0
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 31.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
16Points22
0.615Points %0.786
39Goals for53
37Goals against34
2Goal differential19
W2Current streakW2
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR home
10Games5
5Wins3
12Points7
-1Goal differential4
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
6-4-0Record8-1-1
12Points17
33Goals for42
30Goals against22
3Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Carolina Hurricanes CAR 5 wins
Total goals31 – 28
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.1 / 2.8
Shots per game30.8 / 30.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 23, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 2 22 - 19 View
Dec 19, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 29 - 41 View
Jan 2, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 1 40 - 26 View
Nov 30, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 6 20 - 35 View
Nov 29, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
6 - 3 30 - 31 View
Mar 14, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 21 - 35 View
Feb 22, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 1 45 - 29 View
Nov 10, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 5 30 - 35 View
Apr 13, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
6 - 4 36 - 34 View
Dec 30, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 19 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.