Forward trio
95:20 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 81 / 70
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 56
- Corsi share
- 53.6%
- Fenwick share
- 50.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.73 / 3.25
Florida Panthers vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 12, 2026.
January 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
123:29 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 113 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 68
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 54.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.33 / 4.30
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
111:38 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 118
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 88
- Corsi share
- 46.8%
- Fenwick share
- 43.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 5.44
Defense pair
116:01 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 90 / 127
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 90
- Corsi share
- 41.5%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.49 / 5.81
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Sergei Bobrovsky
Florida Panthers · Last start: Jan 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 106
- Save %
- 84.0
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 36.8
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Jan 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 92.5
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 35.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.16
- xG against / game
- 2.98
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 3.06
- xG differential / game
- -0.05
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.8
- Faceoff win %
- 47.5
- Penalties / game
- 5.7
Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 47.7
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 39 | Goals for | 33 |
| 37 | Goals against | 41 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 6 |
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 12 | Points | 6 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 33 | Goals for | 26 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
7 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
3 wins
Total goals27 – 20
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game2.7 / 2.0
Shots per game35.3 / 31.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 34 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 5 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 42 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 0 | 30 - 45 | View |
| Apr 4, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 2 | 40 - 36 | View |
| Feb 24, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 1 | 33 - 50 | View |