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Detroit Red Wings vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 9, 2027

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 9, 2027.

March 9, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

51.2% Model pick
at
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-5-3

48.8%
Model V2 pick: Detroit Red Wings at 51.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Detroit Red Wings logo
Away team

Detroit Red Wings

51.2%
Fair American -105
Fair decimal 1.95
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 9, 2027.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
1-4
Net units
-3.07
ROI
-61.5%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
2-5
Net units
-1.82
ROI
-26.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

112:48 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
115 / 99
Fenwick for / against
80 / 60
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
3.84 / 3.62
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

137:51 together · 10 games

xG share53.0%
Corsi for / against
159 / 124
Fenwick for / against
120 / 97
Corsi share
56.2%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
7.87 / 6.99
Defense pair

118:31 together · 10 games

xG share52.7%
Corsi for / against
120 / 97
Fenwick for / against
88 / 71
Corsi share
55.3%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
5.38 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Michal Postava

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
35
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
28.6

Clay Stevenson

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
108
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
38.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
3.16
xG differential / game
0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.31
xG differential / game
-0.45

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.5
Corsi share (%)
52.2
Fenwick share (%)
52.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.5
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
45.5
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
13Points11
0.542Points %0.458
33Goals for28
37Goals against36
-4Goal differential-8
W1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
5Games7
2Wins2
6Points5
-1Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
5-2-3Record3-5-2
13Points8
31Goals for22
32Goals against30
-1Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 5 wins
Total goals30 – 34
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game3.0 / 3.4
Shots per game28.2 / 29.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 4, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 2 27 - 35 View
Jan 24, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1 31 - 27 View
Dec 31, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 24 - 19 View
Jan 4, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 2 29 - 23 View
Oct 30, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 2 29 - 21 View
Dec 20, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 5 28 - 41 View
Oct 26, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1 29 - 36 View
Mar 31, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 6 25 - 29 View
Jan 10, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 7 37 - 23 View
Apr 6, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 1 35 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DET WPG