Away team
Detroit Red Wings
43.9%
Fair American
+128
Fair decimal
2.28
Detroit Red Wings vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 10, 2026.
November 10, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
St. Louis Blues at 56.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
St. Louis Blues
56.1%
Fair American
-128
Fair decimal
1.78
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 10, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.60
- ROI
- 53.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- -1.49
- ROI
- -29.7%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinations
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
108:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 106
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 81
- Corsi share
- 48.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.02
Defense pair
113:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 86
- Corsi share
- 50.5%
- Fenwick share
- 46.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.79 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 116
- Save %
- 84.5
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 30.2
Joel Hofer
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 157
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 34.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 3.18
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 2.90
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- 0.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.0
- Faceoff win %
- 49.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 11 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 29 | Goals for | 35 |
| 34 | Goals against | 35 |
| -5 | Goal differential | 0 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
STL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 2 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 11 | Points | 9 |
| 29 | Goals for | 31 |
| 32 | Goals against | 35 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
6 wins
10
games reviewed
STL
4 wins
Total goals36 – 31
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.6 / 3.1
Shots per game26.6 / 27.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
St. Louis Blues
|
5 - 2 | 20 - 22 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 6 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
St. Louis Blues
|
1 - 2 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 19 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 6 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
St. Louis Blues
|
6 - 4 | 32 - 37 | View |
| Mar 23, 2023 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 28 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 2 | 30 - 22 | View |
| Dec 9, 2021 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 6 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Nov 24, 2021 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 4 | 37 - 23 | View |