Forward trio
72:53 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 40
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 64.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.99 / 2.54
Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 31, 2026.
March 31, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
161:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 177 / 126
- Fenwick for / against
- 144 / 91
- Corsi share
- 58.4%
- Fenwick share
- 61.3%
- xG for / against
- 9.39 / 6.03
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
72:01 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 58 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 46 / 56
- Corsi share
- 41.1%
- Fenwick share
- 45.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.40 / 2.66
Defense pair
151:39 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 155 / 131
- Fenwick for / against
- 115 / 105
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 52.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.84 / 8.06
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 36.6
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 30
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 84.2
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 24.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.06
- xG differential / game
- 0.09
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.05
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.7
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.4
- Faceoff win %
- 41.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 33 | Goals for | 40 |
| 37 | Goals against | 40 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 13 | Points | 7 |
| 31 | Goals for | 27 |
| 32 | Goals against | 35 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
4 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
6 wins
Total goals36 – 42
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game3.6 / 4.2
Shots per game25.9 / 31.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 12 | View |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Nov 13, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 3 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 6 | 30 - 27 | View |
| Mar 17, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 6 | 28 - 38 | View |
| Oct 18, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 29 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 1 | 28 - 20 | View |
| Mar 28, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 7 | 39 - 25 | View |