Away team
Detroit Red Wings
52.4%
Fair American
-110
Fair decimal
1.91
Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 18, 2026.
December 18, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Detroit Red Wings at 52.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
47.6%
Fair American
+110
Fair decimal
2.1
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 18, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Philadelphia Flyers
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 35
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 28.6
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- -0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.357 |
| 33 | Goals for | 27 |
| 37 | Goals against | 46 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -19 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 8 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -11 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 31 | Goals for | 22 |
| 32 | Goals against | 29 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
6 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
4 wins
Total goals33 – 28
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.3 / 2.8
Shots per game26.6 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 18 - 26 | View |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 6 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 2 | 19 - 34 | View |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 3 | 26 - 35 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 26 | View |
| Dec 18, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 6 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Jan 25, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
0 - 3 | 30 - 17 | View |
| Dec 22, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 7 | 43 - 37 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
0 - 1 | 32 - 34 | View |