Skip to content

Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 2, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 2, 2026.

April 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

72:47 together · 8 games

xG share66.9%
Corsi for / against
84 / 62
Fenwick for / against
72 / 39
Corsi share
57.5%
Fenwick share
64.9%
xG for / against
4.99 / 2.47
Defense pair

164:34 together · 10 games

xG share56.8%
Corsi for / against
178 / 131
Fenwick for / against
141 / 93
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
60.3%
xG for / against
8.70 / 6.61
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

70:43 together · 9 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
49 / 80
Fenwick for / against
32 / 60
Corsi share
38.0%
Fenwick share
34.8%
xG for / against
2.27 / 3.07
Defense pair

145:34 together · 10 games

xG share54.6%
Corsi for / against
131 / 147
Fenwick for / against
92 / 107
Corsi share
47.1%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
6.70 / 5.57
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
86.6
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
34.8

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
22.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.13
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.60
xG against / game
2.39
xG differential / game
1.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.7
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.7
Corsi share (%)
51.0
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 27.0 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
13Points10
0.542Points %0.357
33Goals for27
37Goals against46
-4Goal differential-19
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
5Games8
2Wins2
6Points7
-1Goal differential-11
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
5-2-3Record3-5-2
13Points8
31Goals for22
32Goals against29
-1Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 7 wins
Total goals23 – 30
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game2.3 / 3.0
Shots per game28.5 / 29.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 28, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 3 26 - 35 View
Jan 21, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 2 28 - 26 View
Dec 18, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 6 19 - 24 View
Dec 12, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 4 26 - 36 View
Jan 25, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 3 30 - 17 View
Dec 22, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 7 43 - 37 View
Dec 16, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 1 32 - 34 View
Mar 25, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 3 29 - 22 View
Mar 5, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 26 - 37 View
Jan 21, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 25 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.