Away team
Detroit Red Wings
43.8%
Fair American
+128
Fair decimal
2.28
Detroit Red Wings vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 29, 2026.
December 29, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New York Rangers at 56.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Rangers
56.2%
Fair American
-128
Fair decimal
1.78
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 29, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.21
- ROI
- 44.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 10.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 3.48
Defense pair
146:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 147 / 153
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 98
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.76 / 5.06
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 35
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 28.6
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 33 | Goals for | 44 |
| 37 | Goals against | 42 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Points | 12 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 31 | Goals for | 33 |
| 32 | Goals against | 36 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
1 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
9 wins
Total goals15 – 36
Goal differential
-21
/
+21
Goals per game1.5 / 3.6
Shots per game31.8 / 28.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 0 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 20 | View |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 1 | 42 - 19 | View |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 1 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 0 | 24 - 37 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 2 | 34 - 31 | View |
| Oct 14, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Apr 5, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 3 | 38 - 34 | View |
| Nov 29, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 41 | View |
| Nov 7, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 5 | 28 - 32 | View |