Skip to content

Detroit Red Wings vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.

April 4, 2026 · 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

67:04 together · 7 games

xG share66.0%
Corsi for / against
78 / 59
Fenwick for / against
67 / 37
Corsi share
56.9%
Fenwick share
64.4%
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.44
Defense pair

154:19 together · 10 games

xG share54.5%
Corsi for / against
166 / 121
Fenwick for / against
131 / 87
Corsi share
57.8%
Fenwick share
60.1%
xG for / against
7.52 / 6.28
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

146:44 together · 10 games

xG share50.5%
Corsi for / against
149 / 133
Fenwick for / against
117 / 109
Corsi share
52.8%
Fenwick share
51.8%
xG for / against
7.49 / 7.34
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
88.3
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.5

Igor Shesterkin

New York Rangers · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
91.3
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
28.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
2.98
xG against / game
3.41
xG differential / game
-0.42

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.63
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
-0.50

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.3
Corsi share (%)
48.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
13Points15
0.542Points %0.536
33Goals for44
37Goals against42
-4Goal differential2
W1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
5Games7
2Wins6
6Points12
-1Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
5-2-3Record4-5-1
13Points9
31Goals for33
32Goals against36
-1Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 2 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 8 wins
Total goals20 – 39
Goal differential -19 / +19
Goals per game2.0 / 3.9
Shots per game30.7 / 30.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 16, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 1 42 - 19 View
Nov 7, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1 26 - 33 View
Nov 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 0 24 - 37 View
Oct 17, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 2 34 - 31 View
Oct 14, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 32 - 28 View
Apr 5, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 3 38 - 34 View
Nov 29, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 27 - 41 View
Nov 7, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 5 28 - 32 View
Feb 23, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 31 - 23 View
Nov 10, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
8 - 2 33 - 20 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.