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Detroit Red Wings vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 27, 2027

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 27, 2027.

March 27, 2027 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

44.9%
at
Home

New York Islanders

5-4-2

55.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Islanders at 55.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Detroit Red Wings logo
Away team

Detroit Red Wings

44.9%
Fair American +123
Fair decimal 2.23
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

55.1%
Fair American -123
Fair decimal 1.81
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 27, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

112:48 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
115 / 99
Fenwick for / against
80 / 60
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
3.84 / 3.62
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Michal Postava

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
36
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
27.8

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
3.16
xG differential / game
0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.6
Corsi share (%)
52.2
Fenwick share (%)
52.9
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
13Points12
0.542Points %0.545
33Goals for32
37Goals against29
-4Goal differential3
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
5Games6
2Wins4
6Points9
-1Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
5-2-3Record5-3-2
13Points12
31Goals for31
32Goals against27
-1Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
Total goals26 – 32
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.6 / 3.2
Shots per game25.5 / 29.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 16, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 3 18 - 21 View
Nov 20, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 0 26 - 29 View
Oct 23, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 7 34 - 30 View
Nov 25, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 2 21 - 29 View
Nov 21, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 23 - 31 View
Oct 22, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 0 11 - 30 View
Mar 21, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 6 36 - 24 View
Feb 29, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 3 27 - 25 View
Oct 30, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 36 - 40 View
Mar 4, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 4 23 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DET NYI