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Detroit Red Wings vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 22, 2026.

January 22, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

111:49 together · 10 games

xG share50.2%
Corsi for / against
107 / 110
Fenwick for / against
80 / 70
Corsi share
49.3%
Fenwick share
53.3%
xG for / against
5.05 / 5.02
Defense pair

175:30 together · 10 games

xG share44.7%
Corsi for / against
148 / 172
Fenwick for / against
111 / 113
Corsi share
46.3%
Fenwick share
49.6%
xG for / against
6.06 / 7.49
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

184:50 together · 10 games

xG share50.7%
Corsi for / against
203 / 172
Fenwick for / against
138 / 131
Corsi share
54.1%
Fenwick share
51.3%
xG for / against
7.91 / 7.70
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
93.4
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
31.6

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
149
Save %
85.9
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
30.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.05
xG against / game
3.32
xG differential / game
-0.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.50
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.42

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.5
Corsi share (%)
47.3
Fenwick share (%)
47.6
Faceoff win %
45.3
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 25.1 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
66.5
Corsi share (%)
51.7
Fenwick share (%)
51.5
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 31.9 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
11Points18
0.500Points %0.692
29Goals for41
34Goals against30
-5Goal differential11
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
4Games4
1Wins4
4Points8
-2Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
4-3-3Record6-3-1
11Points13
29Goals for32
32Goals against25
-3Goal differential7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 7 wins
Total goals28 – 42
Goal differential -14 / +14
Goals per game2.8 / 4.2
Shots per game26.0 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 25, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 16 - 24 View
Feb 22, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 3 39 - 30 View
Dec 27, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 6 28 - 31 View
Nov 26, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 38 - 23 View
Dec 14, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 17 - 22 View
Oct 29, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 10, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 5 40 - 34 View
Feb 14, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 7 34 - 25 View
Feb 27, 2020
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
7 - 1 26 - 26 View
Jan 22, 2020
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 4 27 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.