Away team
Detroit Red Wings
56.7%
Fair American
-131
Fair decimal
1.76
Detroit Red Wings vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 11, 2027
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 11, 2027.
February 11, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Detroit Red Wings at 56.7%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Los Angeles Kings
43.3%
Fair American
+131
Fair decimal
2.31
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 11, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -2.64
- ROI
- -52.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.11
- ROI
- -5.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
78:32 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 48
- Corsi share
- 58.8%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.86 / 3.47
Defense pair
100:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 87
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 51
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 58.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.75 / 3.26
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
57:43 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 35
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 27
- Corsi share
- 69.0%
- Fenwick share
- 67.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.37
Defense pair
68:17 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 40
- Corsi share
- 62.9%
- Fenwick share
- 62.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.19 / 2.27
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Los Angeles Kings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 116
- Save %
- 84.5
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 30.2
Anton Forsberg
Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 85
- Save %
- 89.4
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 24.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.46
- xG against / game
- 3.15
- xG differential / game
- 0.31
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Los Angeles Kings
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 2.95
- xG differential / game
- -0.20
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.0
- Faceoff win %
- 49.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.33
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 6 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 29 | Goals for | 21 |
| 34 | Goals against | 32 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -11 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
LAK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 3 |
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 2-5-2 |
| 11 | Points | 6 |
| 29 | Goals for | 21 |
| 32 | Goals against | 32 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
4 wins
10
games reviewed
LAK
6 wins
Total goals30 – 36
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game3.0 / 3.6
Shots per game25.8 / 35.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 1 | 22 - 28 | View |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 39 | View |
| Jan 27, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 5 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
1 - 4 | 18 - 41 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 5 | 36 - 30 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 43 | View |
| Nov 12, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Oct 17, 2022 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Feb 2, 2022 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 3 | 45 - 25 | View |
| Jan 8, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 42 | View |