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Detroit Red Wings vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.

March 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

80:25 together · 9 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
79 / 79
Fenwick for / against
58 / 56
Corsi share
50.0%
Fenwick share
50.9%
xG for / against
3.43 / 3.85
Defense pair

101:18 together · 6 games

xG share47.0%
Corsi for / against
87 / 103
Fenwick for / against
64 / 73
Corsi share
45.8%
Fenwick share
46.7%
xG for / against
4.94 / 5.58
All observed combinations

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

137:44 together · 9 games

xG share50.3%
Corsi for / against
137 / 124
Fenwick for / against
100 / 92
Corsi share
52.5%
Fenwick share
52.1%
xG for / against
6.15 / 6.08
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
105
Save %
93.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
33.3

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers · Last start: Mar 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
26.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.06
xG differential / game
-0.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.37
xG against / game
3.03
xG differential / game
0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.6
Corsi share (%)
49.4
Fenwick share (%)
50.5
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 7.8% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.9
Corsi share (%)
54.2
Fenwick share (%)
53.4
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
5.6

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
13Points16
0.542Points %0.615
33Goals for39
37Goals against37
-4Goal differential2
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA home
5Games3
2Wins2
6Points4
-1Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
5-2-3Record6-4-0
13Points12
31Goals for33
32Goals against30
-1Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Florida Panthers FLA 6 wins
Total goals20 – 27
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game2.0 / 2.7
Shots per game23.7 / 31.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 6, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 1 23 - 29 View
Oct 15, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 21 - 25 View
Apr 10, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 4 23 - 31 View
Apr 6, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 33 - 24 View
Jan 16, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 2 20 - 43 View
Mar 30, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 22 - 38 View
Mar 2, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 0 37 - 21 View
Jan 17, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 2 29 - 34 View
Nov 2, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 0 27 - 22 View
Mar 20, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 2 25 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.