Forward trio
71:01 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 75 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 46
- Corsi share
- 53.2%
- Fenwick share
- 54.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.71 / 2.79
Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.
March 14, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
142:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 138 / 143
- Fenwick for / against
- 106 / 97
- Corsi share
- 49.1%
- Fenwick share
- 52.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.93 / 7.45
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
91:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 48
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.17 / 2.89
Defense pair
136:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 112 / 108
- Fenwick for / against
- 85 / 72
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.1%
- xG for / against
- 7.01 / 4.31
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 110
- Save %
- 90.9
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 28.2
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 129
- Save %
- 92.2
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 23.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 2.95
- xG against / game
- 3.10
- xG differential / game
- -0.15
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.98
- xG against / game
- 2.55
- xG differential / game
- 1.43
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.7
- Faceoff win %
- 50.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 27.3 · Shooting: 8.1% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.4
- Faceoff win %
- 53.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 16.1% · Avg distance: 28.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 33 | Goals for | 32 |
| 37 | Goals against | 20 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 12 |
| W1 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 31 | Goals for | 32 |
| 32 | Goals against | 16 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
2 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
8 wins
Total goals28 – 43
Goal differential
-15
/
+15
Goals per game2.8 / 4.3
Shots per game28.1 / 31.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 4 | 22 - 25 | View |
| Apr 14, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 6 | 28 - 37 | View |
| Jan 19, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 34 - 25 | View |
| Jan 23, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 38 - 34 | View |
| Dec 11, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 6 | 30 - 35 | View |
| Apr 10, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 1 | 22 - 20 | View |
| Dec 10, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Jan 21, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Nov 16, 2021 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 5 | 30 - 30 | View |
| Apr 24, 2021 |
Dallas Stars
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 1 | 52 - 17 | View |