Away team
Detroit Red Wings
41.2%
Fair American
+143
Fair decimal
2.43
Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 7, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 7, 2026.
November 7, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 58.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
58.8%
Fair American
-143
Fair decimal
1.7
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 7, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 35
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 28.6
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 33 | Goals for | 49 |
| 37 | Goals against | 40 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 31 | Goals for | 35 |
| 32 | Goals against | 35 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
2 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
8 wins
Total goals18 – 43
Goal differential
-25
/
+25
Goals per game1.8 / 4.3
Shots per game30.2 / 30.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 0 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 0 | 21 - 28 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Dec 7, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 1 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Mar 6, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 7 | 29 - 54 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Mar 18, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 1 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 27 | View |
| Feb 23, 2022 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Dec 10, 2021 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 7 | 40 - 47 | View |