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Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 2, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 2, 2026.

February 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

116:45 together · 10 games

xG share50.7%
Corsi for / against
124 / 108
Fenwick for / against
94 / 77
Corsi share
53.4%
Fenwick share
55.0%
xG for / against
6.08 / 5.91
Defense pair

93:44 together · 5 games

xG share45.8%
Corsi for / against
90 / 89
Fenwick for / against
73 / 61
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
54.5%
xG for / against
4.00 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

128:36 together · 10 games

xG share53.2%
Corsi for / against
167 / 133
Fenwick for / against
119 / 98
Corsi share
55.7%
Fenwick share
54.8%
xG for / against
6.08 / 5.35
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
23.5

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
34.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
0.02

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.46
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
0.70

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.3
Corsi share (%)
50.8
Fenwick share (%)
52.0
Faceoff win %
50.8
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
70.1
Corsi share (%)
56.4
Fenwick share (%)
54.8
Faceoff win %
48.5
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 33.3 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
13Points13
0.542Points %0.542
33Goals for49
37Goals against40
-4Goal differential9
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
5Games6
2Wins4
6Points9
-1Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
5-2-3Record4-5-1
13Points9
31Goals for35
32Goals against35
-1Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 9 wins
Total goals17 – 45
Goal differential -28 / +28
Goals per game1.7 / 4.5
Shots per game29.5 / 31.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 0 21 - 28 View
Mar 25, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5 23 - 28 View
Dec 7, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 25 - 30 View
Mar 6, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 7 29 - 54 View
Feb 22, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 31 - 30 View
Mar 18, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 1 23 - 34 View
Jan 16, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 6 29 - 27 View
Feb 23, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 2 31 - 34 View
Dec 10, 2021
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 7 40 - 47 View
Mar 2, 2020
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 27 - 18 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.