Away team
Detroit Red Wings
54.9%
Fair American
-122
Fair decimal
1.82
Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.
January 16, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Detroit Red Wings at 54.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
45.1%
Fair American
+122
Fair decimal
2.22
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 16, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.42
- ROI
- 10.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 3-7
- Net units
- -3.17
- ROI
- -31.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
71:17 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 42
- Corsi share
- 45.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair
112:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 77
- Corsi share
- 36.2%
- Fenwick share
- 38.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.26 / 4.74
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 36
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 27.8
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 154
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 42.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.38
- xG against / game
- 3.48
- xG differential / game
- -1.10
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 45.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 41.9
- Faceoff win %
- 42.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 6 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.273 |
| 33 | Goals for | 24 |
| 37 | Goals against | 43 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -19 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -6 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 3-7-0 |
| 13 | Points | 6 |
| 31 | Goals for | 22 |
| 32 | Goals against | 38 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
7 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
3 wins
Total goals40 – 30
Goal differential
+10
/
-10
Goals per game4.0 / 3.0
Shots per game32.2 / 28.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 0 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 1 | 20 - 46 | View |
| Jan 10, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 5 | 15 - 28 | View |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Feb 25, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 5 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Mar 8, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 41 | View |
| Oct 21, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Jan 26, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
8 - 5 | 38 - 33 | View |
| Oct 24, 2021 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
6 - 3 | 37 - 35 | View |