Forward trio
113:44 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 124 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 89 / 75
- Corsi share
- 54.1%
- Fenwick share
- 54.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.74 / 5.16
Detroit Red Wings vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.
February 28, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
87:47 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 37
- Corsi share
- 54.9%
- Fenwick share
- 60.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.31 / 2.13
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
109:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 118 / 89
- Fenwick for / against
- 85 / 70
- Corsi share
- 57.0%
- Fenwick share
- 54.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.71 / 5.81
Defense pair
163:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 167 / 127
- Fenwick for / against
- 109 / 88
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 6.22 / 7.04
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 112
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 25.0
Brandon Bussi
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 109
- Save %
- 88.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.05
- xG against / game
- 3.05
- xG differential / game
- 0.00
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.40
- xG against / game
- 3.07
- xG differential / game
- 0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.3
- Faceoff win %
- 52.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 7.9% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 63.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.3
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.8 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 20 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.769 |
| 33 | Goals for | 51 |
| 37 | Goals against | 33 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 18 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 5 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 8-1-1 |
| 13 | Points | 17 |
| 31 | Goals for | 46 |
| 32 | Goals against | 25 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 21 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
3 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
7 wins
Total goals21 – 33
Goal differential
-12
/
+12
Goals per game2.1 / 3.3
Shots per game21.5 / 33.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 18 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Apr 4, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 5 | 33 - 21 | View |
| Mar 14, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Mar 4, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 1 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
0 - 4 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Jan 19, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 4 | 12 - 30 | View |
| Dec 14, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 1 | 39 - 26 | View |
| Apr 11, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 28 | View |
| Mar 30, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 22 | View |