Forward trio
72:53 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 40
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 64.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.99 / 2.54
Detroit Red Wings vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 27, 2026.
March 27, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
165:13 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 175 / 141
- Fenwick for / against
- 138 / 104
- Corsi share
- 55.4%
- Fenwick share
- 57.0%
- xG for / against
- 9.87 / 7.13
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
95:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 93 / 87
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 62
- Corsi share
- 51.7%
- Fenwick share
- 51.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.24 / 3.64
Defense pair
131:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 133 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 102 / 69
- Corsi share
- 59.6%
- Fenwick share
- 59.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.24 / 5.34
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 35.9
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 89.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 29.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.37
- xG against / game
- 2.98
- xG differential / game
- 0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.10
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 8.5% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 33 | Goals for | 33 |
| 37 | Goals against | 41 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 31 | Goals for | 26 |
| 32 | Goals against | 32 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
6 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
4 wins
Total goals39 – 35
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.9 / 3.5
Shots per game26.8 / 31.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Oct 22, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 4 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Mar 12, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 7 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Dec 9, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
6 - 5 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 2 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 5 | 25 - 39 | View |
| Apr 7, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 3 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 26 | View |
| Mar 12, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 7 | 24 - 39 | View |
| Dec 5, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 3 | 27 - 32 | View |