Away team
Dallas Stars
50.6%
Fair American
-102
Fair decimal
1.98
Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 19, 2026.
December 19, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Dallas Stars at 50.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Winnipeg Jets
49.4%
Fair American
+102
Fair decimal
2.02
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 19, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.82
- ROI
- -13.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
135:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 104
- Corsi share
- 55.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair
121:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 114 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 81
- Corsi share
- 50.4%
- Fenwick share
- 50.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.74 / 5.31
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.3
Stuart Skinner
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 136
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 38.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.51
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 45.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 0.682 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 32 | Goals for | 27 |
| 20 | Goals against | 31 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
WPG home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-4-2 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 32 | Goals for | 24 |
| 16 | Goals against | 27 |
| 16 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
WPG
4 wins
Total goals24 – 28
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.4 / 2.8
Shots per game28.1 / 25.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 38 | View |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 3 | 22 - 21 | View |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 3 | 19 - 33 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
5 - 4 | 37 - 25 | View |
| Apr 10, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Mar 14, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 22 | View |
| Dec 1, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 3 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 0 | 24 - 24 | View |