Forward trio
81:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 91 / 69
- Fenwick for / against
- 64 / 56
- Corsi share
- 56.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.33 / 3.34
Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 7, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 7, 2026.
January 7, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
122:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 113 / 96
- Fenwick for / against
- 81 / 70
- Corsi share
- 54.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.81 / 5.00
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
37:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 27 / 47
- Fenwick for / against
- 23 / 36
- Corsi share
- 36.5%
- Fenwick share
- 39.0%
- xG for / against
- 1.23 / 2.94
Defense pair
130:02 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 147 / 132
- Fenwick for / against
- 106 / 95
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 52.7%
- xG for / against
- 7.21 / 6.89
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 6
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 125
- Save %
- 86.4
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 28.8
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 5
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 28.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.40
- xG against / game
- 3.28
- xG differential / game
- 0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.57
- xG against / game
- 3.31
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.5
- Faceoff win %
- 50.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 14.6% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.2
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 33 | Goals for | 34 |
| 25 | Goals against | 32 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 32 | Goals for | 34 |
| 19 | Goals against | 32 |
| 13 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
7 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
3 wins
Total goals24 – 24
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game2.4 / 2.4
Shots per game27.0 / 29.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 1 | 24 - 19 | View |
| Dec 16, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 3 | 26 - 24 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 4 | 38 - 27 | View |
| Dec 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 46 | View |
| Oct 27, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 2 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Mar 20, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 38 | View |
| Jan 28, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 0 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Oct 12, 2019 |
Washington Capitals
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 25 | View |