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Dallas Stars vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 2, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 2, 2026.

March 2, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:29 together · 8 games

xG share73.0%
Corsi for / against
82 / 51
Fenwick for / against
54 / 30
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
64.3%
xG for / against
4.01 / 1.48
Defense pair

138:21 together · 10 games

xG share58.7%
Corsi for / against
121 / 99
Fenwick for / against
89 / 59
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
60.1%
xG for / against
5.52 / 3.88
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

86:37 together · 10 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
90 / 71
Fenwick for / against
65 / 52
Corsi share
55.9%
Fenwick share
55.6%
xG for / against
3.81 / 3.75
Defense pair

106:56 together · 10 games

xG share42.0%
Corsi for / against
90 / 114
Fenwick for / against
71 / 77
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
48.0%
xG for / against
4.79 / 6.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Feb 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
86.6
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
21.8

Kevin Lankinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Feb 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
81
Save %
77.8
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.49
xG against / game
2.44
xG differential / game
1.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
3.64
xG differential / game
-0.86

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.7
Corsi share (%)
54.2
Fenwick share (%)
57.3
Faceoff win %
54.2
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.5
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
46.2
Faceoff win %
47.4
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
15Points7
0.625Points %0.250
33Goals for43
25Goals against65
8Goal differential-22
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
5Games6
3Wins1
7Points2
7Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
7-2-1Record1-8-1
15Points3
32Goals for24
19Goals against47
13Goal differential-23
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 5 wins
Total goals31 – 31
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.1 / 3.1
Shots per game26.8 / 26.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 20, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2 24 - 36 View
Oct 16, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 3 26 - 31 View
Apr 8, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
6 - 5 32 - 28 View
Mar 9, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 19 - 23 View
Jan 31, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 5 29 - 16 View
Mar 28, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 1 34 - 28 View
Dec 21, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 20 - 36 View
Nov 4, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 2 27 - 28 View
Mar 25, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 1 24 - 26 View
Mar 14, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 5 27 - 19 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.