Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 13, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on April 13, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Dallas Stars a 62.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Dallas Stars
(62.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 13, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Dallas Stars
62.1%
Fair American: -164
Fair Decimal: 1.61
Best Market: -180 · BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 64.3%
Edge: -2.2%
EV: -3.4%
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
37.9%
Fair American: +164
Fair Decimal: 2.64
Best Market: +160 · Bovada
Market Implied: 38.5%
Edge: -0.6%
EV: -1.5%
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 112 | Points | 78 |
| 0.683 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 279 | Goals For | 253 |
| 226 | Goals Against | 299 |
| 53 | Goal Differential | -46 |
| W5 | Current Streak | L5 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
DAL (Road)
|
Metric |
TOR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 18 |
| 56 | Points | 44 |
| 30 | Goal Differential | -10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 15 | Points | 5 |
| 34 | Goals For | 28 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 6 | Goal Differential | -19 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
DAL
|
H2H Summary |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 7-3 |
| 25 | Total Goals | 33 |
| -8 | Goal Differential | +8 |
| 2.5 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 29.1 | Shots / Game | 31.4 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Dec 18, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
5 - 3 | 19 - 39 | View |
| Feb 7, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 5 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Dec 6, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
4 - 0 | 29 - 44 | View |
| Oct 20, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Apr 7, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
4 - 3 | 41 - 18 | View |
| Mar 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
0 - 4 | 35 - 40 | View |
| Feb 13, 2020 |
Dallas Stars
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 2 | 19 - 31 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.