Forward trio
55:05 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 47 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 29 / 29
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.15 / 2.45
Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 13, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 13, 2026.
April 13, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
97:17 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 77 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 58
- Corsi share
- 47.5%
- Fenwick share
- 47.3%
- xG for / against
- 3.01 / 4.43
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
92:20 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 91 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 72
- Corsi share
- 49.5%
- Fenwick share
- 48.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.84 / 4.30
Defense pair
52:22 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 36 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 26 / 57
- Corsi share
- 33.3%
- Fenwick share
- 31.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.21 / 3.27
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Apr 11
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 117
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 23.9
Joseph Woll
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Apr 11
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 161
- Save %
- 86.3
- Goals allowed
- 22
- Close-range shots %
- 25.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 2.66
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- -0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.78
- xG against / game
- 3.71
- xG differential / game
- -0.94
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.1
- Faceoff win %
- 48.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 21.6 · Shooting: 13.4% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 42.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 41.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.1
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 20.6 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 16 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.571 |
| 33 | Goals for | 52 |
| 25 | Goals against | 46 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 8 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -1 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 32 | Goals for | 41 |
| 19 | Goals against | 35 |
| 13 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
3 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
7 wins
Total goals25 – 33
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.5 / 3.3
Shots per game29.1 / 31.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Dec 18, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 3 | 19 - 39 | View |
| Feb 7, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 5 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Dec 6, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 0 | 29 - 44 | View |
| Oct 20, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Apr 7, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 41 - 18 | View |
| Mar 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 4 | 35 - 40 | View |
| Feb 13, 2020 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 19 - 31 | View |