Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 13, 2026.

April 13, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Dallas Stars

50-20-12
at
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-36-14
Model favourite Dallas Stars at 62.1%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Dallas Stars logo
Away team

Dallas Stars

62.1%
Fair American -164
Fair decimal 1.61
Best market -180 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 64.3%
Edge -2.2%
Expected value -3.4%
Calculate value
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Home team

Toronto Maple Leafs

37.9%
Fair American +164
Fair decimal 2.64
Best market +160 · Bovada
Market implied 38.5%
Edge -0.6%
Expected value -1.5%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
112Points78
0.683Points %0.476
279Goals for253
226Goals against299
53Goal differential-46
W5Current streakL5
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR home
41Games41
24Wins18
56Points44
30Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
7-2-1Record2-7-1
15Points5
34Goals for28
28Goals against47
6Goal differential-19
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 7 wins
Total goals25 – 33
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.5 / 3.3
Shots per game29.1 / 31.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 21, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 5 28 - 22 View
Jan 14, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 1 23 - 28 View
Dec 18, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 3 19 - 39 View
Feb 7, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 5 31 - 31 View
Oct 26, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 1 24 - 32 View
Dec 6, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 0 29 - 44 View
Oct 20, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 3 28 - 43 View
Apr 7, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 3 41 - 18 View
Mar 15, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
0 - 4 35 - 40 View
Feb 13, 2020
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 2 19 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL TOR