Away team
Dallas Stars
41.8%
Fair American
+139
Fair decimal
2.39
Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 6, 2027
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 6, 2027.
January 6, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
San Jose Sharks at 58.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
58.2%
Fair American
-139
Fair decimal
1.72
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 6, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.45
- ROI
- 48.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 1.66
- ROI
- 20.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
136:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 116 / 148
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 103
- Corsi share
- 43.9%
- Fenwick share
- 44.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.90 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 155
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 31.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.98
- xG differential / game
- -1.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 0.682 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 32 | Goals for | 37 |
| 20 | Goals against | 43 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -6 |
| W5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 32 | Goals for | 28 |
| 16 | Goals against | 36 |
| 16 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
9 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
1 wins
Total goals50 – 27
Goal differential
+23
/
-23
Goals per game5.0 / 2.7
Shots per game32.2 / 23.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 5 | 13 - 26 | View |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 5 | 20 - 31 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 3 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 17 - 24 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
San Jose Sharks
|
8 - 3 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 38 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
San Jose Sharks
|
6 - 3 | 41 - 20 | View |
| Mar 5, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
San Jose Sharks
|
7 - 6 | 40 - 20 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 23 - 38 | View |