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Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 10, 2026.

January 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:15 together · 10 games

xG share61.3%
Corsi for / against
106 / 80
Fenwick for / against
75 / 65
Corsi share
57.0%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
5.98 / 3.77
Defense pair

121:50 together · 10 games

xG share57.8%
Corsi for / against
109 / 93
Fenwick for / against
78 / 66
Corsi share
54.0%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
6.47 / 4.72
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

111:11 together · 7 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
115 / 96
Fenwick for / against
84 / 76
Corsi share
54.5%
Fenwick share
52.5%
xG for / against
5.35 / 4.41
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.5

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Jan 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
87.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
34.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.18
xG differential / game
0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.52
xG against / game
3.14
xG differential / game
0.38

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.4
Corsi share (%)
47.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.6
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.9
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.7
Faceoff win %
48.9
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 29.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
15Points13
0.625Points %0.500
33Goals for37
25Goals against45
8Goal differential-8
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
5Games5
3Wins2
7Points4
7Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
7-2-1Record4-5-1
15Points9
32Goals for28
19Goals against33
13Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 9 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 1 wins
Total goals49 – 29
Goal differential +20 / -20
Goals per game4.9 / 2.9
Shots per game34.3 / 25.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 18, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 3 30 - 37 View
Dec 5, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 17 - 24 View
Feb 8, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
8 - 3 34 - 27 View
Nov 20, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 5 23 - 31 View
Oct 15, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 27 - 38 View
Mar 26, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 3 41 - 20 View
Mar 5, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
7 - 6 40 - 20 View
Mar 2, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 23 - 38 View
Jan 18, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 5 36 - 28 View
Dec 31, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 5 31 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.